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You don't need to worry what the economy is doing ? people need to buy their drugs. - Phil Dow Quotes

You don't need to worry what the economy is doing ? people need to buy their drugs.

Drugs

The volume expansion indicates that you might be seeing individuals, rather than just traders, getting involved. But, volumes in general are still pretty weak. Odds are that if this is the real thing, you'll see [daily] volumes of 1.6 billion and 1.7 billion -- and then it will be obvious to everyone we are in a bull market. - Phil Dow Quotes

The volume expansion indicates that you might be seeing individuals, rather than just traders, getting involved. But, volumes in general are still pretty weak. Odds are that if this is the real thing, you'll see [daily] volumes of 1.6 billion and 1.7 billion -- and then it will be obvious to everyone we are in a bull market.

If you look at our portfolio that we run here with a three-year track record, basically it's equal to the S&P the last three years. This year we're down about 1.8, 1.9 percent versus an S&P that's significantly more than that down. - Phil Dow Quotes

If you look at our portfolio that we run here with a three-year track record, basically it's equal to the S&P the last three years. This year we're down about 1.8, 1.9 percent versus an S&P that's significantly more than that down.

I think it's still emotional and we've seen a manic depressive market. It has very little to do with the economy and my guess is it will wash out at some point ? I think we're getting close here. - Phil Dow Quotes

I think it's still emotional and we've seen a manic depressive market. It has very little to do with the economy and my guess is it will wash out at some point ? I think we're getting close here.

We've got to get through that and it's probably several months before we get a turnaround in any sectors, - Phil Dow Quotes

We've got to get through that and it's probably several months before we get a turnaround in any sectors,

I think if you're looking for immediate gratification, there's probably no place that's real safe to buy, - Phil Dow Quotes

I think if you're looking for immediate gratification, there's probably no place that's real safe to buy,

We like Waters Corporation, ... It's a company that specializes in equipment for biotech research, great balance sheet, firm fundamentals. In financials, we would throw in Wells Fargo, TCF Financial Corporation, and Citigroup. - Phil Dow Quotes

We like Waters Corporation, ... It's a company that specializes in equipment for biotech research, great balance sheet, firm fundamentals. In financials, we would throw in Wells Fargo, TCF Financial Corporation, and Citigroup.

Once we get over the shock of the headline, I find it hard to argue that this is a negative. - Phil Dow Quotes

Once we get over the shock of the headline, I find it hard to argue that this is a negative.

They have the best of breed kinds of companies in two really good industries. They have a natural gas pipeline company. In addition, a fiber optic network which will be 33,000 miles. Each have the wind at their back and we think the combined businesses conservatively are worth 60. Right now the stock trades for around 45. The company just announced a way to unlock that value with a spin-off of their Williams Communications Group. So we think it's just a matter of time before that stock reaches 60. - Phil Dow Quotes

They have the best of breed kinds of companies in two really good industries. They have a natural gas pipeline company. In addition, a fiber optic network which will be 33,000 miles. Each have the wind at their back and we think the combined businesses conservatively are worth 60. Right now the stock trades for around 45. The company just announced a way to unlock that value with a spin-off of their Williams Communications Group. So we think it's just a matter of time before that stock reaches 60.

Even before Katrina, we were capacity constrained. - Phil Dow Quotes

Even before Katrina, we were capacity constrained.

Today's action depends on your investment philosophy, - Phil Dow Quotes

Today's action depends on your investment philosophy,

If you look at the earnings so far, we've had on balance in-line or mildly positive surprises. Yet the guidance going forward had been guarded. If that continues, you're looking at a more subdued market response this week. - Phil Dow Quotes

If you look at the earnings so far, we've had on balance in-line or mildly positive surprises. Yet the guidance going forward had been guarded. If that continues, you're looking at a more subdued market response this week.

But he (Fed chairman Alan Greenspan) also said they're still worried and they're not through tightening. - Phil Dow Quotes

But he (Fed chairman Alan Greenspan) also said they're still worried and they're not through tightening.

It's amazing to see intellectual capital turn into profits so quickly. - Phil Dow Quotes

It's amazing to see intellectual capital turn into profits so quickly.

Next year people will still be cautious. At the same time I anticipate corporate earnings and economic growth will come in better than expected, - Phil Dow Quotes

Next year people will still be cautious. At the same time I anticipate corporate earnings and economic growth will come in better than expected,

Hopefully we'll see the economy slowing down by the summer and technology will take off. - Phil Dow Quotes

Hopefully we'll see the economy slowing down by the summer and technology will take off.

There is an absolute certainty among investors that whatever news that happens is going to be bad. [The October lows] aren't sacrosanct and could be broken. We have a nation that's pre-occupied with what can go wrong. We'd need a booster shot of good news to move anywhere. - Phil Dow Quotes

There is an absolute certainty among investors that whatever news that happens is going to be bad. [The October lows] aren't sacrosanct and could be broken. We have a nation that's pre-occupied with what can go wrong. We'd need a booster shot of good news to move anywhere.

I think most folks are under-diversified, and I'd like to see more names in a portfolio, - Phil Dow Quotes

I think most folks are under-diversified, and I'd like to see more names in a portfolio,

I think a productive economy is the main thing people should take home with them. This is a unique period in American history. I think we'll look back on it as a time you wanted to own stocks rather than trade stocks. I think, secondarily, corporate America is showing good earnings reports. The second half of this year may be lower than the second half of last year, but they're still robust, probably in the high teens. I think if you focus on financial guide posts, that eventually will drive prices. I think you'll see the market in general do better as the year wears on. - Phil Dow Quotes

I think a productive economy is the main thing people should take home with them. This is a unique period in American history. I think we'll look back on it as a time you wanted to own stocks rather than trade stocks. I think, secondarily, corporate America is showing good earnings reports. The second half of this year may be lower than the second half of last year, but they're still robust, probably in the high teens. I think if you focus on financial guide posts, that eventually will drive prices. I think you'll see the market in general do better as the year wears on.

You've got to get back to what really moves stocks, and that's earnings. It's not international conflict -- that's always been there. And the market has delivered, despite Vietnam, Sept. 11, and every other horrific thing we've had. - Phil Dow Quotes

You've got to get back to what really moves stocks, and that's earnings. It's not international conflict -- that's always been there. And the market has delivered, despite Vietnam, Sept. 11, and every other horrific thing we've had.

One surprise in 2005 will be that business capital spending will be back in a big way especially as cash is at record levels on balance sheets and as companies ensure that they stay competitive. - Phil Dow Quotes

One surprise in 2005 will be that business capital spending will be back in a big way especially as cash is at record levels on balance sheets and as companies ensure that they stay competitive.

There was just a tremendous amount of concern, and the market held, ... In fact if you look at third-quarter performance, it was pretty good across the board. - Phil Dow Quotes

There was just a tremendous amount of concern, and the market held, ... In fact if you look at third-quarter performance, it was pretty good across the board.

With today's big decline, this isn't a time to be concerned about additional downside but about what can go right in the coming months, primarily a gradual economic recovery, - Phil Dow Quotes

With today's big decline, this isn't a time to be concerned about additional downside but about what can go right in the coming months, primarily a gradual economic recovery,

I think [Greenspan] had a calming effect once all the returns were in and people had the opportunity to reflect on what he said. - Phil Dow Quotes

I think [Greenspan] had a calming effect once all the returns were in and people had the opportunity to reflect on what he said.

What I see is this pervasive opinion that there will be a better time to buy stocks and that we'll all know it when it comes. But it's never that way. The only way to participate in a market recovery is to be in it beforehand. - Phil Dow Quotes

What I see is this pervasive opinion that there will be a better time to buy stocks and that we'll all know it when it comes. But it's never that way. The only way to participate in a market recovery is to be in it beforehand.

My sense is that we may be at a really important transition point. Yesterday was a pretty important day. (The market) turned around on expanding volume, which indicated some real buying going on. - Phil Dow Quotes

My sense is that we may be at a really important transition point. Yesterday was a pretty important day. (The market) turned around on expanding volume, which indicated some real buying going on.

This is the first evidence that things might be better than they thought, and I think traders don't quite know what to do. I think we've been conditioned to bad news -- it's like a beaten-up prize fighter. I think it's a dangerous time to look for more of the same, meaning looking for more negative. - Phil Dow Quotes

This is the first evidence that things might be better than they thought, and I think traders don't quite know what to do. I think we've been conditioned to bad news -- it's like a beaten-up prize fighter. I think it's a dangerous time to look for more of the same, meaning looking for more negative.

We're...focusing on technology areas, - Phil Dow Quotes

We're...focusing on technology areas,

It was a strong day for technology and small stocks. But most major stocks were mediocre performers, - Phil Dow Quotes

It was a strong day for technology and small stocks. But most major stocks were mediocre performers,

I don't believe that the market is ready for serial rate increases. We'll just have to wait and see what is said, but my suspicion is, right on the heels of this meeting . . . it's probably going to be a tug of war. - Phil Dow Quotes

I don't believe that the market is ready for serial rate increases. We'll just have to wait and see what is said, but my suspicion is, right on the heels of this meeting . . . it's probably going to be a tug of war.

From a cash flow standpoint and a value standpoint, the stock is quite attractive, ... I think those are all compelling arguments for long-term ownership. - Phil Dow Quotes

From a cash flow standpoint and a value standpoint, the stock is quite attractive, ... I think those are all compelling arguments for long-term ownership.

Value

My guess is that value will have its day, - Phil Dow Quotes

My guess is that value will have its day,

This year, the market is trying to tell you to be selective. If you look at the stocks that have moved, it really has not been just 30 big stocks; it's been all asset classes, all styles -- value and growth have delivered. The ones that are really getting fundamental financial guide, post-traction are those that are delivering. So my guess is selectivity is the key, and I think you've got to be in kind of best-of-breed solutions right now. - Phil Dow Quotes

This year, the market is trying to tell you to be selective. If you look at the stocks that have moved, it really has not been just 30 big stocks; it's been all asset classes, all styles -- value and growth have delivered. The ones that are really getting fundamental financial guide, post-traction are those that are delivering. So my guess is selectivity is the key, and I think you've got to be in kind of best-of-breed solutions right now.

I think the main impact of the election has been a degree of uncertainty. Once we know who the president will be it will be very much like Y2K -- it will come and go. You have to focus on sales and earnings, and those have been pretty robust. - Phil Dow Quotes

I think the main impact of the election has been a degree of uncertainty. Once we know who the president will be it will be very much like Y2K -- it will come and go. You have to focus on sales and earnings, and those have been pretty robust.

wants to cut taxes and spend the surplus. - Phil Dow Quotes

wants to cut taxes and spend the surplus.

If you have any kind of cut or a neutral bias, the markets will move higher. - Phil Dow Quotes

If you have any kind of cut or a neutral bias, the markets will move higher.

Try to buy those kinds of names when they're out of favor and hold on to them for long periods of time, - Phil Dow Quotes

Try to buy those kinds of names when they're out of favor and hold on to them for long periods of time,

The main problem is things keep getting worse in the technology space. - Phil Dow Quotes

The main problem is things keep getting worse in the technology space.

The trading activity has a negative bias. The news has been negative and it's frustrating for investors and traders alike. - Phil Dow Quotes

The trading activity has a negative bias. The news has been negative and it's frustrating for investors and traders alike.

News

If you don't believe America is going to grow and recover from this, obviously you should sell, ... My guess is it's going to accelerate our recovery. - Phil Dow Quotes

If you don't believe America is going to grow and recover from this, obviously you should sell, ... My guess is it's going to accelerate our recovery.

If the focus on the market were to continue to go up even with bad news, that would indicate to me we're going to recover. - Phil Dow Quotes

If the focus on the market were to continue to go up even with bad news, that would indicate to me we're going to recover.

My sense is that January is going to be critical this year and I think you can see a good beginning to the month. I think you can see a positive January and my guess is that's how you're going to see money invested -- early and strongly. - Phil Dow Quotes

My sense is that January is going to be critical this year and I think you can see a good beginning to the month. I think you can see a positive January and my guess is that's how you're going to see money invested -- early and strongly.

The overwhelming trend will be more to position portfolios for the next year and my guess is that you'll see some of the stocks that have done well do better, - Phil Dow Quotes

The overwhelming trend will be more to position portfolios for the next year and my guess is that you'll see some of the stocks that have done well do better,

You're going to see a lot of companies voluntarily take the smoke and mirrors out of their business, ... We shouldn't expect to see an immediate recovery, but eventually people will regain confidence. - Phil Dow Quotes

You're going to see a lot of companies voluntarily take the smoke and mirrors out of their business, ... We shouldn't expect to see an immediate recovery, but eventually people will regain confidence.

I think we are in a recovery, but no one ever believes it ahead of time. To me, it's pretty encouraging to see volume expand when the market is going up. And while the news is not improving, the market seems to be holding up. - Phil Dow Quotes

I think we are in a recovery, but no one ever believes it ahead of time. To me, it's pretty encouraging to see volume expand when the market is going up. And while the news is not improving, the market seems to be holding up.

We're trying to take advantage of value where we can see it, and there are some obvious places. Computer Associates ( CA : Research , Estimates ) is the third-largest independent software company. It trades at a P/E multiple on forward earnings. It's about a third of Microsoft's today. It's growing at about 16, 17 percent, trades for about 13 times earnings. We think it's a very attractive asset. We think it's a great one and could go up as much as 30, 40 percent in the coming year. - Phil Dow Quotes

We're trying to take advantage of value where we can see it, and there are some obvious places. Computer Associates ( CA : Research , Estimates ) is the third-largest independent software company. It trades at a P/E multiple on forward earnings. It's about a third of Microsoft's today. It's growing at about 16, 17 percent, trades for about 13 times earnings. We think it's a very attractive asset. We think it's a great one and could go up as much as 30, 40 percent in the coming year.

Bit by bit we are seeing the pieces of the economic mosaic come together that could support a sustained stock market rally, at least in the short term ... But in the longer term, there are still significant questions, no doubt about it. - Phil Dow Quotes

Bit by bit we are seeing the pieces of the economic mosaic come together that could support a sustained stock market rally, at least in the short term ... But in the longer term, there are still significant questions, no doubt about it.

You've got some pretty learned people right now predicting a Fed pause. - Phil Dow Quotes

You've got some pretty learned people right now predicting a Fed pause.

Rebuilding in the Gulf Coast will be a major focus following the destruction caused by hurricanes in the region. This is yet another demonstration of how resilient the economy has been since Sept. 11, 2001. - Phil Dow Quotes

Rebuilding in the Gulf Coast will be a major focus following the destruction caused by hurricanes in the region. This is yet another demonstration of how resilient the economy has been since Sept. 11, 2001.

We're at the tenderloin of the earnings season and you are going to see powerful earnings reports from a lot of companies this week, and I think while we have got economic reports, earnings are going to be the focal point of the market right now, ... I think one feature that we've not talked a lot about is just the sentiment on the part of professional money managers. They have had to be kind of tentative the past two or three months with the Fed hiking. My guess is the one move they can't miss is a big up move here, and I think you could have a train-leaving-the-station kind of rally as institutions come into this marketplace. - Phil Dow Quotes

We're at the tenderloin of the earnings season and you are going to see powerful earnings reports from a lot of companies this week, and I think while we have got economic reports, earnings are going to be the focal point of the market right now, ... I think one feature that we've not talked a lot about is just the sentiment on the part of professional money managers. They have had to be kind of tentative the past two or three months with the Fed hiking. My guess is the one move they can't miss is a big up move here, and I think you could have a train-leaving-the-station kind of rally as institutions come into this marketplace.

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